The aim of the article is to study the modelling process and the constructions of predictive trends of the management actions impacts on the growth of “niche” eco-modernization. The results of the analysis. In the article the problems of modelling the processes of stimulating the ecological modernization of the national economy are discussed. It is defined, that in the context of the new transformational trends in Ukraine, it was raised a number of economic problems and necessitates of additional research of this problem. The main task of the article is to model the managerial influences on the process of growth of “niche” eco-modernization and forecasting of environmental innovations in time. It is proved that the share of innovatively active enterprises is significantly increased if the control effect is successfully achieved through the immediate adoption of economic and institutional tools. It is proved that the share of innovatively active enterprises will slowly increase after postponing the management impact due to the adoption of economic and institutional tools for 3 years, and postponing the administrative impact for 6 years will lead to a very low growth rate of the share of innovative active enterprises that carry out environmental modernization. So, for Ukraine: after 4 years, the share of innovative enterprises will go to 78.81% with the immediate adoption of the corresponding “law” – 6.58%, with the postponement of the adoption of the law for 3 years, and practically does not change with the postponement of adoption of the law for 6 years. Moreover, the level of 99% will be achieved after 8 years in the first case, after 11 years in the second and 14 in the third. Calculations show that for the “Industry” branch the growth rate c≈0.675, the value of b is 3.083 for the immediate adoption of the law, b ≈ 23.378 for 3 years deposition and b ≈ 177.256 for 6 years. After 6 years, the percentage of innovatively active enterprises will be 94.78% in the first case, 68.12% in the second case and only 8.95% in the latter. Conclusions. The article deals with the problems of modelling the growth of “niche” eco-modernizations on the example of individual sectors of the national economy of Ukraine. Within the framework of the research, the modelling and forecasting of managerial impacts in the process of environmental modernization were conducted on the basis of the analysis of the growth of “niche” eco-modernizations in the system of the national economy. It is proved that the basis of the model of the management of the process of environmental modernization is the forecasting of the needs of environmental innovations, on the basis of which essentially new technologies are being developed, new products are being produced, and progressive organizational and managerial decisions are being developed. Perspectives of further research are research of new scientific and methodological approaches for the development of scientific methods for stimulations the process of environmental modernization at different hierarchical levels.
Keywords: innovation, ecological modernization, management, modelling, industry
JEL Classification: Q28, Q41, Q42.
Cite as: Shkarupa, O.V. & Lyakh, 0.V. (2017). Modelling the processes of stimulating of environmental modernization in the national economy system. Marketing and Management of Innovations, 4, 384-390. https://doi.org/10.21272/mmi.2017.4-35
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